20 Management Thesis

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Date of publication: 2017-09-03 16:26

If the SETI assumption that there are many (., millions) of technological (at least radio capable) civilizations is correct, then at least some of them (., millions of them) would be way ahead of us. But it takes only a few centuries at most from the advent of computation for that civilization to expand outward at at least light speed. Given this, how can it be that we have not noticed them?

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Other primary concerns include 8775 who is controlling the nanobots? 8776 and 8775 who are the nanobots talking to? 8776 Organizations (., governments, extremist groups) or just a clever individual could put trillions of undetectable nanobots in the water or food supply of an individual or of an entire population. These 8775 spy 8776 nanobots could then monitor, influence, and even control our thoughts and actions. In addition to introducing physical spy nanobots, existing nanobots could be influenced through software viruses and other software 8775 hacking 8776 techniques. When there is software running in our brains, issues of privacy and security will take on a new urgency.

The Law of Accelerating Returns | KurzweilAI

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The economy 8775 wants 8776 to grow more than the % per year, which constitutes the current 8775 speed limit 8776 that the Federal Reserve bank and other policy makers have established as 8775 safe, 8776 meaning noninflationary. But in keeping with the law of accelerating returns, the economy is capable of 8775 safely 8776 establishing this level of growth in less than a year, implying a growth rate in an entire year of greater than %. Recently, the growth rate has exceeded 5%.

With the advent of a technology-creating species, the exponential pace became too fast for evolution through DNA-guided protein synthesis and moved on to human-created technology. Technology goes beyond mere tool making it is a process of creating ever more powerful technology using the tools from the previous round of innovation. In this way, human technology is distinguished from the tool making of other species. There is a record of each stage of technology, and each new stage of technology builds on the order of the previous stage.

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If we view the exponential growth of computation in its proper perspective as one example of the pervasiveness of the exponential growth of information based technology, that is, as one example of many of the law of accelerating returns, then we can confidently predict its continuation.

In the same way that people today beam their lives from web cams in their bedrooms, 8775 experience beamers 8776 circa 7585 will beam their entire flow of sensory experiences, and if so desired, their emotions and other secondary reactions. We 8767 ll be able to plug in (by going to the appropriate web site) and experience other people 8767 s lives as in the plot concept of 8766 Being John Malkovich. 8767 Particularly interesting experiences can be archived and relived at any time.

Consider unrestrained nanobot replication. Nanobot technology requires billions or trillions of such intelligent devices to be useful. The most cost effective way to scale up to such levels is through self-replication, essentially the same approach used in the biological world. And in the same way that biological self-replication gone awry (., cancer) results in biological destruction, a defect in the mechanism curtailing nanobot self-replication would endanger all physical entities, biological or otherwise.

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